水库联合调度作为城市防洪的非工程措施发挥着越来越重要的作用，但是随着水库数目的增多，由于数学模型概化及优化技术的局限性（如动态规划中的“维数灾”问题），水库优化调度及其规则的制定变得越来越困难。为此，本文针对城市防洪规划中水库群的防洪调度规则制定，以城市防洪控制断面的过流能力为约束条件，提出了正逆两向的水库联合调度分析方法，以都匀市已有和规划水库群的联合调度为例，验证了本文提出方法的合理性与可操作性。结果表明：逆向分析方法相比正向分析方法相比更能减小水库调度方案制定的不确定性，结果也可为类似的城市防洪规划提供参考和借鉴。

Joint operation of reservoirs as non-engineering measures plays an important role in current urban flood control. However, with the increasing in the number of reservoirs and the limitations of the mathematical model and optimization techniques (such as "dimension disaster" problem in the dynamic programming), an optimal operational rules of the reservoirs becomes more and more difficult to be obtained. In order to develop a joint operational rule for the urban flood control within the planning stage of reservoirs, forward and inverse analysis methods are proposed based on the flood discharge capacity in the control reach of a city river. A case study was conducted in the flood control of Duyun city for the joint operation of reservoirs within the planning process. The rationality and operability of the proposed methods have been verified in the case study. Results indicate that the reverse analysis method can reduce the uncertainty of the reservoir operation plan better than the forward analysis method. In addition, the results can also be used as a reference for similar urban flood control planning.