梯级水库常遇洪水弃水风险控制方法研究与应用

何勇

中国农村水利水电 ›› 2019 ›› (9) : 162-170.
防汛与抗旱

梯级水库常遇洪水弃水风险控制方法研究与应用

  • 何勇
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Research and application of cascade reservoirs surplus water risk control method for frequently-occurred flood

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摘要

为了降低梯级弃水风险,提高水资源利用率,将起调水位范围、运行方式等作为梯级弃水风险控制指标,根据充分利用水库调蓄能力和洪水资源化利用的原则,提出了梯级水库常遇洪水弃水风险控制方法。该方法通过选取典型常遇洪水过程,结合梯级调度实际,迭代计算得出梯级水库弃水风险控制指标的合理范围,应用于乌江梯级水库的算例表明,计算结果对于制定梯级联合调度运行方式具有参考作用。

Abstract

In order to reduce the cascade reservoirs surplus water risk and increase utilization of hydropower resources, this paper proposes a method to control cascade reservoirs surplus water risk for frequently-occurred flood according to the principle of making full use of the storage capacity of reservoir which has better regulation performance and flood-water resources utilization. The method treats the range of beginning regulation water level, operation mode and so on as the control indexes of cascade reservoirs surplus water risk. Using typical flood process, this paper got the reasonable range of the control indexes of cascade reservoirs surplus water risk with iterative calculation. The method is used on cascade reservoirs located on the Wujiang River. In addition, it shows an advantageous result for formulating cascade reservoirs operation plan.

关键词

上游水库调蓄 / 梯级联合调度 / 弃水风险控制 / 预泄调度

Key words

regulation and storage of upstream reservoir / cascade jointly-operation / surplus water risk control / pre-discharge operation

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何勇. 梯级水库常遇洪水弃水风险控制方法研究与应用[J].中国农村水利水电, 2019(9): 162-170
. Research and application of cascade reservoirs surplus water risk control method for frequently-occurred flood[J].China Rural Water and Hydropower, 2019(9): 162-170

参考文献

[1] 张永永,白海涛,黄强. 乌江梯级水库群弃水变化及减少弃水的措施[J]. 人民黄河,2014,36(10):30-32. [2] 过团挺,曹璐,廖胜利. 基于弃水风险率控制的水库预泄调度方法[J]. 水利水电技术,2016,47(04):88-92. [3] 袁玉娇. 亭子口水利枢纽常遇洪水实时预报预泄调度的运用[J]. 四川水利,2018,39(05):44-47. [4] 王世平,张娜,孔显玉. 构皮滩、思林水库常遇洪水联合预泄调度研究[J]. 人民长江,2014,45(13):1-5. [5] 但其宝,张伟,陈光辉. 基于确定性预报基础上的喜河水库中小洪水预泄调度研究与应用[J]. 大坝与安全,2018,(03):24-30. [6] 张晓星. 金沙江中游梯级水电站联合预泄调度效益分析[J]. 中国水运(下半月),2016,16(11):228-229.

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